How to Predict Soccer Scores Accurately – Guide for New Players

Football is not only an attractive sport but also a substantial betting market, where players can apply their knowledge and skills to predict the match results. But why is predicting the score important? Learning how to predict soccer scores can help increase the chances of winning bets and manage finances effectively. So, how do you know how to predict soccer scores? Let’s find out with PHJILI through the article below.

Factors Affecting Match Scores

Predicting accurate football scores is not based on intuition or luck, but requires careful analysis of factors. A football match is affected by many variables, including team quality, form, tactics, to objective factors such as weather and field. Below are the most important factors that you need to consider before making a score prediction.

History of Matches Between Two Teams

The history of matches is one of the most important information when analyzing a match. A team may have poor form, but if they have always been dominant over their opponents in the past, they still can win.

For example, Real Madrid has often had favorable results against Barcelona in recent big matches, and their form is not too different. This shows that historical factors affect the outcome of the match.

When looking at the head-to-head history, pay attention to:

• The number of recent head-to-head matches between the two teams
• The number of wins, draws, and losses for each team
• The average number of goals scored per match by the two teams
• Which team usually has the advantage

The Recent Form of the Two Teams

Recent form is the next important factor in determining which team has the advantage before the match. A team may be high in the rankings but is going through a bad streak. Conversely, a weaker team with good form can create a surprise.

When analyzing form, consider:

• The number of wins, draws, and losses in the last 5-10 matches
• The average number of goals scored per match
• The average number of goals conceded per match
• Whether the team is playing at home or away

For example, a team that is unbeaten in five matches before the match may have an advantage over a team that has lost 3/5 of its last matches.

 

The Impact of Home and Away Grounds

The ground factor has an influence on the outcome of the match. Statistics show that most teams perform better when playing at home, due to familiarity with the pitch, weather, support from the audience pressure to travel.

However, not all teams have the advantage at home. Some teams play better away from home thanks to effective counter-attacking tactics.

For example, Liverpool has a very high winning rate at Anfield, but Manchester United is a team with a very good away record in recent seasons.

Team Tactics and Style of Play

Each team has a tactic, affects the ability to score and defend.

Teams with strong attacking styles, such as Manchester City, Bayern Munich, often score many goals.
Teams with tight defense, such as Atletico Madrid, Juventus, often have low scores.
If two teams with attacking styles meet, the match will have goals. On the contrary, if both teams play defensively, the match may end in a goalless draw.

Team Strength Status

Changes in the squad due to injuries, suspensions, or player rotations also affect the outcome of the match. A team without a key player can lose a lot of strength.

For example, if a team loses its main striker, its ability to score goals will decrease significantly. On the contrary, if a team has the return of key players after injury, they may play better than in previous matches.

External Factors: Weather, Referees, Competition Psychology

Objective factors such as weather conditions (rain, snow, strong winds), referees, and competition psychology can also affect the match.

Heavy rain can slow down the ball, reducing the number of goals.
Referees with a tight style can cause more disruption to the game, affecting the pace.

A team with a better playing mentality (e.g., accustomed to the pressure of big matches) may have an advantage over its opponents.

How to Predict Soccer Scores Accurately

Step 1: Collect Necessary Data

Before making a score prediction, it is necessary to collect complete information about the match, including:

• Head-to-head record between the two teams
• Recent form of the two teams
• Expected lineup, absent players
• Tactical style of play of the two teams
• Pitch conditions, weather

Step 2: Determine Scoring Ability

Based on the collected data, it is possible to determine the average number of goals scored by each team and the average number of goals conceded.

For example:

The home team scores an average of 2 goals per game
Away team concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game
=> Predict the score could be 2-1 or 2-0.

Step 3: Consider Odds Movements

Bookmakers often offer odds that reflect the winning chances of the teams. If the odds change suddenly, there is an unexpected factor that affects the outcome of the match.

For example, if the over/under bet drops from 3.5 to 2.5, there may be fewer goals in the match.

Experience: How to predict soccer scores

 

Here are some football betting tips from the most accurate and reputable experts:

Don’t Bet on Feelings: Many people make the mistake of betting on feelings or because they like a certain team. This can lead to incorrect decisions. Always rely on statistics to make reasonable predictions.

Follow Pre-Match News: Information about injuries, penalties, or tactical changes can affect the outcome of a match. Always update pre-match information from reputable sources.

Pay Attention to Competition Psychology: A team that is certain to stay in the league or has no competition goals may not play at full strength. Meanwhile, a team that needs points to avoid relegation will have a higher motivation to compete.

Manage Betting Budget: Don’t bet all your money on a single match. Divide your bets to reduce risk and maximize profits.

Take Advantage of Predictive Tools: Predictive models that use artificial intelligence (AI) can help analyze data and make more informed predictions.